France, Spain, England, Argentina tipped to reach World Cup semifinals

With the 2026 FIFA North America World Cup quarterfinal matchups now set, odds for each team's semifinal chances have been released.

France vs. Morocco, Spain vs. Belgium, Norway vs. England, and Argentina vs. Switzerland will battle for semifinal berths from Friday through Sunday (Korean Standard Time).

Football statistics outlet Score90 analyzed the quarterfinal matchups using data from the betting platform Polymarket.

The first match pits France against Morocco at Boston Stadium in the United States at 5 a.m. Friday (Korean Standard Time). Score90 gave France a 78 percent chance of advancing.

Spain and Belgium follow at 4 a.m. Saturday. Score90 favored Spain to reach the semifinals, putting their odds at 75 percent.

Norway and England meet at 6 a.m. Sunday. Score90 picked England, giving them a 65 percent chance of advancing.

Later that day at 10 a.m., Argentina take on Switzerland. Score90 backed defending champion Argentina, giving them a 75 percent chance of reaching the semifinals.

Looking at the full quarterfinal picture, France and Spain stand as the primary title contenders. France tops the FIFA rankings, leads Opta's championship outlook, holds the highest implied odds on Polymarket, and is tied for the most goals scored in the tournament. Spain, ranked second in Opta's title outlook, boasts strong dominance metrics — 93 shots and an expected goals figure of 10.56.